- Cleus
- Predictions
- Politics
Politics & Election Odds with an AI that keeps score.
Elections, primaries, cabinet moves and what governments do next. Live Polymarket prices with Cleus’s own forecast, the unusual bets and the rules in plain words.
Bets in politics that stand out
- 80Politics · 6 h ago
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Jon Ossoff
$4.3K on Yes at 21¢ · pays $21K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Its first market ever
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0x1852…1feenew that day · 1 mkt · −$84 P&L - 55Politics · 18 h ago
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?: Democratic
$16K on Yes at 68¢ · pays $23K
- Its first market ever
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0x7978…b8a253d old · 1 mkt · −$392 P&L
All politics markets
Every live Polymarket market worth watching, busiest first. Click any row for Cleus’s read, the chart, smart money and the rules in plain words.
J.D. Vance
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
JD Vance
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Politics
Marco Rubio
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
Jon Ossoff
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Ron DeSantis
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Marco Rubio
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Marco Rubio
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
Jon Ossoff
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
December 31, 2026
Pete Hegseth impeached by...? · Politics
Scott Bessent
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
Alberto Núñez Feijóo
Next Prime Minister of Spain? · Politics
Glenn Youngkin
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Chuck Schumer
Next Senate Majority Leader? · Politics
Jonathan Nez (D)
AZ-02 House Election Winner · Politics
James Talarico
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Pete Hegseth
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
Ron DeSantis
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
Greg Murphy (R)
NC-03 House Election Winner · Politics
Ivanka Popović
Next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Politics
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Eli Crane (R)
AZ-02 House Election Winner · Politics
Democratic
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Politics
Pedro Sánchez
Next Prime Minister of Spain? · Politics
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
NC-03 House Election Winner · Politics
Kamala Harris
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
115-139
Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? · Politics
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
Kamala Harris
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
John McEntee
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Pete Buttigieg
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Labour Party
New Zealand legislative election winner? · Politics
Democrats 14-16%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory · Politics
44
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) · Politics
Hakeem Jeffries
Speaker of the House after the midterms? · Politics
65-89
Elon Musk # tweets November 5 - November 7, 2026? · Politics
Jay Obernolte (R)
CA-23 House Election Winner · Politics
Chris Van Hollen
Next Senate Majority Leader? · Politics
Gavin Newsom
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Politics
Democrats 12-14%
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory · Politics
November 30
Next Press Secretary announced by...? · Politics
Stephen Miller
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
Howard Lutnick
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
December 31, 2027
Will Trump be impeached by...? · Politics
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)
CA-23 House Election Winner · Politics
Republican
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election? · Politics
Kash Patel
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027? · Politics
200-219
Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026? · Politics
Gavin Newsom
Presidential Election Winner 2028 · Politics
JD Vance
2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? · Politics