- Cleus
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- Economy
Fed, Economy & IPO Odds with an AI that keeps score.
The Fed, rates, inflation, IPOs, earnings and companies. Live Polymarket prices with Cleus’s own forecast, the unusual bets and the rules in plain words.
All economy markets
Every live Polymarket market worth watching, busiest first. Click any row for Cleus’s read, the chart, smart money and the rules in plain words.
25 bps increase
Fed Decision in December? · Economy
No change
Fed Decision in December? · Economy
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Economy
November 15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? · Economy
December 31, 2026
AI bubble burst by...? · Economy
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Economy
November 30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? · Economy
December 31, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __? · Economy
↑$3.0T
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? · Economy
December 31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? · Economy
December 31
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? · Economy
25 bps increase
Fed Decision in January? · Economy
SpaceX
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? · Economy
January 31
US imports Russian diesel by...? · Economy
June 30, 2027
AI bubble burst by...? · Economy
December 31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? · Economy
<$1.25T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
$1.75–$2.0T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
November 30, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __? · Economy
Anthropic
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? · Economy
↑ $120
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? · Economy
November 30
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? · Economy
$1.5–$1.75T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
Economy
$1.25–$1.5T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
$210
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November? · Economy
$2.0–$2.25T
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
↑ $200
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026? · Economy
↑ $5,000
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? · Economy
No IPO by December 31, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) · Economy
March 31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? · Economy
↑$2.0T
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? · Economy
December 15, 2026
Anthropic IPO by __? · Economy
No IPO by December 31, 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap · Economy
1.8T+
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) · Economy
$200
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November? · Economy
↑ $110
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? · Economy
November 30
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? · Economy
↓ $725
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026? · Economy
↑ $208
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026? · Economy
November 15
US imports Russian diesel by...? · Economy
↓ $730
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026? · Economy
NVIDIA
Largest Company end of November 2026? · Economy
March 31, 2027
Crude Oil all time high by...? · Economy
600B+
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets) · Economy
↑ $216
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in November 2026? · Economy
25 bps increase
Fed Decision in March? · Economy
NVIDIA
Largest Company end of December 2026? · Economy
↑ $100
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026? · Economy
Apple
Largest Company end of November 2026? · Economy