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Largest Company end of November 2026?

Odds right now: Apple 69%, Company H 50%, Company I 50%.

EconomyEnds in 24 days$111K traded$40K in 24h$500K liquidityWatch the rules
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
Apple
69%—▼ 8.0
Company H
50%——
Company I
50%——
Company J
50%——
Company K
50%——
Company L
50%——
Company M
50%——
Company N
50%——
Company O
50%——
Company P
50%——
Company Q
50%——
Company R
50%——
Show 13 more outcomes
Company S
50%——
Company T
50%——
Other
50%——
NVIDIA
30%—▲ 7.0
Microsoft
<1%——
Alphabet
<1%——
Tesla
<1%——
Saudi Aramco
<1%——
Broadcom
<1%——
Amazon
<1%——
SpaceX
<1%——
TSMC
<1%——
Meta
<1%——
Last 30 days9%48%88%Nov 2Nov 6
Apple 69%
See it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

Deep researchPremium

A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “NVIDIA”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($1.2K held)
Yes 21%79% No
All top holders ($19K held)
Yes 28%72% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0xa5ef…2966 No$11K—
0x0bc0…0f2a Yes$2.0K$10K
0xe25d…84b9 No$1.2K$61
0x491f…c959 Yes$1.1K$8.5K
0xa603…1103 Yes$450−$2.6K
0x5e8e…8212 No$351$66K
0xc3e9…9afa Yes$282−$1.8K
0xd218…b5c9 No$259−$65K
0x2e8b…a514 Yes$231−$120
0x4b8a…f4a4 Yes$194$33K
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.

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Questions

What are the odds of Largest Company end of November 2026?

On Polymarket, Apple is trading at 69%. Other outcomes: Apple 69%, Company H 50%, Company I 50%. Prices update live.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.