Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Odds right now: Person H 50%, Person I 50%, Person J 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Ivanka Popović”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 15 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
- 90Politics · 8 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Dejan Šoškić
$5.7K on Yes at 39¢ · pays $15K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only 3 markets ever traded
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0x9c82…a6c1new that day · 3 mkts · +$1.1K P&L - 80Politics · 13 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$3.0K on No at 31¢ · pays $9.6K
- Wallet opened yesterday
- Its first market ever
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0x18c6…5daf1d old · 1 mkt · +$6.4K P&L - 80Politics · 12 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.8K on No at 54¢ · pays $5.2K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Its first market ever
- A quarter or more of the wallet's money in this bet
0x8107…cfcdnew that day · 1 mkt · +$2.7K P&L - 80Politics · 12 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.7K on Yes at 44¢ · pays $6.0K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Its first market ever
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0x583b…d72dnew that day · 1 mkt · −$2.9K P&L - 69Politics · 25 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$15K on Yes at 70¢ · pays $21K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only 5 markets ever traded
0xc284…0ddcnew that day · 5 mkts · −$53K P&L - 65Politics · 13 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.5K on No at 31¢ · pays $7.9K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only 2 markets ever traded
- A quarter or more of the wallet's money in this bet
0xa3e9…e386new that day · 2 mkts · +$12K P&L - 65Politics · 13 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.1K on No at 30¢ · pays $7.0K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Its first market ever
0x9639…6f0bnew that day · 1 mkt · +$10K P&L - 65Politics · 16 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.0K on No at 34¢ · pays $5.9K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only 3 markets ever traded
0xa234…d8b3new that day · 3 mkts · −$802 P&L - 65Politics · 12 days ago
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?: Aleksandar Vučić
$2.0K on Yes at 56¢ · pays $3.6K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only 3 markets ever traded
0xe875…6834new that day · 3 mkts · −$7.9K P&L
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue; the end date has passed and it is still open.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.
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Questions
What are the odds of Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
On Polymarket, Person H is trading at 50%. Other outcomes: Person H 50%, Person I 50%, Person J 50%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on October 26, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.