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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Odds right now: Yes 3%.

GeopoliticsEnds in 55 days$3.8M traded$9.4K in 24h$129K liquidityWatch the rules
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3%——
Last 30 days2%5%9%Oct 7Nov 6
Yes 3%
See it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

Deep researchPremium

A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($315K held)
Yes 1%99% No
All top holders ($524K held)
Yes 4%96% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0xdfe3…73c4 No$177K$438K
0x3eae…e2ed No$57K$148K
0x4bbe…2cf3 No$45K−$753K
0x5f17…519e No$35K−$21K
0x602d…b193 No$19K$13K
0x8b71…8044 No$17K$60K
0xcaab…24dd No$15K$156K
0xd25b…9f3d No$14K$17K
0x5685…62e2 No$14K$60K
0x52b9…df61 No$14K−$134
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

  • 50Geopolitics · 9 days ago

    Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

    $678 on Yes at 7¢ · pays $9.7K

    • Only 5 markets ever traded
    • Long shot at 7¢
    0x5ea9…0bff78d old · 5 mkts · −$3.9K P&L
  • 50Geopolitics · 8 h ago

    Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

    $579 on No at 97¢ · pays $598

    • Wallet is 5 days old
    • Only its 2nd market ever
    0x27bc…a5ef5d old · 2 mkts · +$50 P&L
Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Ask Cleus about this market

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Questions

What are the odds of Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

On Polymarket, Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? is trading at 3%. Prices update live.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.