Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Odds right now: Yes 2%.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Xi Jinping out before 2027?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 11 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
- 79Geopolitics · 11 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$3.0K on Yes at 4¢ · pays $71K
- Wallet is 4 days old
- Only 3 markets ever traded
- Long shot at 4¢
0x0a18…e5c84d old · 3 mkts · −$3.4K P&L - 65Geopolitics · 9 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$1.1K on Yes at 4¢ · pays $26K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Only its 2nd market ever
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
0xbb0f…a76bnew that day · 2 mkts · −$828 P&L - 53Geopolitics · 13 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$3.5K on Yes at 4¢ · pays $96K
- Only its 2nd market ever
- Long shot at 4¢
0x43cf…a6e1151d old · 2 mkts · −$7.9K P&L - 50Geopolitics · 28 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$997 on Yes at 4¢ · pays $28K
- Wallet is 5 days old
- Long shot at 4¢
0x85d4…48ac5d old · 8 mkts · −$7.5K P&L - 50Geopolitics · 10 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$753 on Yes at 4¢ · pays $18K
- Wallet opened the same day
- Most of the wallet's money went into this one bet
- Long shot at 4¢
0xc070…7680new that day · 7 mkts · −$613 P&L - 46Geopolitics · 13 days ago
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
$4.1K on Yes at 3¢ · pays $146K
- Only 3 markets ever traded
- Long shot at 3¢
0x4fc1…84a7262d old · 3 mkts · −$26K P&L
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.
More geopolitics markets
Questions
What are the odds of Xi Jinping out before 2027?
On Polymarket, Xi Jinping out before 2027? is trading at 2%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.