Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Odds right now: Yes 37%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026: the story so far
Updated November 9, 2026 at 9:54 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026” a 37% chance. The price has fallen 3 points since October 10, from 40% to 37%, after peaking at 52% on October 19. In the last 24 hours it lost 6 points.
$110K has been traded on this event, $3.7K of it in the last 24 hours, and $2.6K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
On Polymarket, Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? is trading at 37%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026” a 37% chance. The price has fallen 3 points since October 10, from 40% to 37%, after peaking at 52% on October 19. In the last 24 hours it lost 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.