Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
Odds right now: Matan Kahana 94%, Person 2 50%, Person 3 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 11:33 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Matan Kahana as the most likely outcome at 94%, ahead of Person 2 (50%) and Person 3 (50%). 60 outcomes are trading in all. Matan Kahana has risen 43 points since October 19, from 50% to 92%. In the last 24 hours Matan Kahana gained 48 points.
$29K has been traded on this event, $18K of it in the last 24 hours, and $103K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Matan Kahana”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on March 1, 2027. How it resolves: Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Matan Kahana”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 4 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
Following the Israeli legislative election scheduled for October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold an internal election for the position of Speaker of the Knesset. This market will resolve according to the name of the candidate that becomes Speaker of the Knesset as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Speakers appointed before the election will not count. If this election does not take place or the results of this election are not known by February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No speaker by Feb 28". This market will resolve based on official information from the Knesset or a consensus of credible reporting.
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Questions
What are the odds of Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
On Polymarket, Matan Kahana is trading at 94%. Other outcomes: Matan Kahana 94%, Person 2 50%, Person 3 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Who will be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Matan Kahana as the most likely outcome at 94%, ahead of Person 2 (50%) and Person 3 (50%). 60 outcomes are trading in all. Matan Kahana has risen 43 points since October 19, from 50% to 92%. In the last 24 hours Matan Kahana gained 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on March 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.