Taichung Mayor Election Winner
Odds right now: Johnny Chiang 77%, Candidate A 50%, Candidate B 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Johnny Chiang”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
- 56Geopolitics · 23 h ago
Taichung Mayor Election Winner: Johnny Chiang
$1.3K on No at 23¢ · pays $5.7K
- Wallet is 23 days old
- Only 4 markets ever traded
- Underdog at 23¢
0x5f87…1d1023d old · 4 mkts · −$5.1K P&L - 50Geopolitics · 2 days ago
Taichung Mayor Election Winner: Johnny Chiang
$664 on No at 27¢ · pays $2.5K
- Wallet is 26 days old
- Only 3 markets ever traded
0xee40…333326d old · 3 mkts · −$765 P&L - 50Geopolitics · 4 days ago
Taichung Mayor Election Winner: Ho Hsin-chun
$550 on Yes at 19¢ · pays $2.8K
- Wallet is 26 days old
- Only 4 markets ever traded
- Underdog at 19¢
0x5a48…8e6126d old · 4 mkts · +$1.1K P&L - 50Geopolitics · 6 days ago
Taichung Mayor Election Winner: Johnny Chiang
$500 on Yes at 89¢ · pays $562
- Wallet opened yesterday
0x241a…2e4d1d old · 7 mkts · −$1.4K P&L - 46Geopolitics · 14 days ago
Taichung Mayor Election Winner: Ho Hsin-chun
$551 on Yes at 36¢ · pays $1.5K
- Wallet is 30 days old
0x5549…b7d230d old · 7 mkts · +$60 P&L
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taichung as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Taichung Mayor Election Winner?
On Polymarket, Johnny Chiang is trading at 77%. Other outcomes: Johnny Chiang 77%, Candidate A 50%, Candidate B 50%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 29, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.