Next Senator in Klobuchar's Minnesota seat?
Odds right now: Kelly Morrison 88%, Person A 50%, Person B 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Next Senator in Klobuchar's Minnesota seat: the story so far
Updated November 12, 2026 at 6:49 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see Kelly Morrison as the most likely outcome at 88%, ahead of Person A (50%) and Person B (50%). 45 outcomes are trading in all. Kelly Morrison has risen 37 points since November 6, from 51% to 88%. In the last 24 hours Kelly Morrison gained 42 points.
$9.5K has been traded on this event, $3.4K of it in the last 24 hours, and $25K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Kelly Morrison”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 92% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on April 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Amy Klobuchar, to hold the United States Senate seat from Minnesota currently held by Amy Klobuchar (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Kelly Morrison”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the next person, other than Amy Klobuchar, to hold the United States Senate seat from Minnesota currently held by Amy Klobuchar (Class I). A person appointed or elected to the seat will be considered to hold it once they have been sworn in. Interim, acting, or other temporary Senators will count. If no person other than Amy Klobuchar has held the seat by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate and the Government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Next Senator in Klobuchar's Minnesota seat?
On Polymarket, Kelly Morrison is trading at 88%. Other outcomes: Kelly Morrison 88%, Person A 50%, Person B 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Next Senator in Klobuchar's Minnesota seat?
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see Kelly Morrison as the most likely outcome at 88%, ahead of Person A (50%) and Person B (50%). 45 outcomes are trading in all. Kelly Morrison has risen 37 points since November 6, from 51% to 88%. In the last 24 hours Kelly Morrison gained 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on April 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.