Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Odds right now: Yes 27%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31: the story so far
Updated November 11, 2026 at 7:49 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31” a 27% chance. The price has risen 7 points since October 12, from 20% to 27%, after peaking at 33% on October 26.
$69K has been traded on this event, $3.5K of it in the last 24 hours, and $28K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 81% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 12 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state. Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium. Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
On Polymarket, Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? is trading at 27%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31” a 27% chance. The price has risen 7 points since October 12, from 20% to 27%, after peaking at 33% on October 26.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.