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#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

Odds right now: Movie D 50%, Movie E 50%, Movie F 50%.

Tech & AIEnds in 5 mo$284K traded$7.8K in 24h$258K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
Movie D
50%——
Movie E
50%——
Movie F
50%——
Movie G
50%——
Movie H
50%——
Movie I
50%——
Movie J
50%——
Movie K
50%——
Movie L
50%——
Movie M
50%——
Movie N
50%——
Movie O
50%——
Show 18 more outcomes
Movie P
50%——
Movie Q
50%——
Movie R
50%——
Movie S
50%——
Movie T
50%——
Movie U
50%——
Movie V
50%——
Movie W
50%——
Movie X
50%——
Movie Y
50%——
Movie Z
50%——
Other
50%——
The Odyssey
40%—▼ 0.5
Obsession
38%—▼ 0.5
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
10%—▼ 2.0
Avengers: Doomsday
6%—▲ 0.8
Backrooms
5%—▼ 1.3
Michael
2%—▼ 2.1
See it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

Deep researchPremium

A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “Spider-Man: Brand New Day”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 19 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($11K held)
Yes 14%86% No
All top holders ($18K held)
Yes 9%91% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x4cb5…b536 No$7.0K$69K
0xa5ef…2966 No$4.3K—
0x5188…c804 No$2.2K$662K
0xb1ca…1705 Yes$1.0K$274K
0x014c…820c No$727−$75K
0x04bf…7caf No$453$45K
0xb17d…59ae No$272$10.0K
0xffea…06c0 No$251$3.7K
0x5768…08fd No$109−$1.8K
0x73ed…2574 No$106−$5.0K
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.

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Questions

What are the odds of #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

On Polymarket, Movie D is trading at 50%. Other outcomes: Movie D 50%, Movie E 50%, Movie F 50%. Prices update live.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on April 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.