Who will join Trump at APEC in China?
Odds right now: Elon Musk >99%, Jared Kushner 76%, Jensen Huang 3%.
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Who will join Trump at APEC in China: the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 4:48 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “Who will join Trump at APEC in China”: “Elon Musk” at >99%, “Jared Kushner” at 76%, “Jensen Huang” at 3% and “Steve Witkoff” at 42%. Elon Musk has risen 50 points since November 11, from 50% to >99%. Jared Kushner has risen 27 points since November 11, from 50% to 77%. In the last 24 hours Elon Musk gained 7 points.
$22K has been traded on this event, $6.5K of it in the last 24 hours, and $37K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Jared Kushner”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 62% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026. How it resolves: Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Jared Kushner”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
Donald Trump is scheduled to visit China to attend the APEC Economic Leaders' Meeting in Shenzhen on November 18-19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any portion of this visit. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present at any meeting or event in China which Donald Trump attends during this visit and for which officials from both the government of the United States and the government of China are present. If Donald Trump does not visit China by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to "No". The visit will be considered to have ended once Donald Trump physically departs from Chinese territory. No meetings or events which start after this time will be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Who will join Trump at APEC in China?
On Polymarket, Elon Musk is trading at >99%. Other outcomes: Elon Musk >99%, Jared Kushner 76%, Jensen Huang 3%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Who will join Trump at APEC in China?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “Who will join Trump at APEC in China”: “Elon Musk” at >99%, “Jared Kushner” at 76%, “Jensen Huang” at 3% and “Steve Witkoff” at 42%. Elon Musk has risen 50 points since November 11, from 50% to >99%. Jared Kushner has risen 27 points since November 11, from 50% to 77%. In the last 24 hours Elon Musk gained 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.