What will Trump say during "60 Minutes" extended interview?
Odds right now: Iran 5+ times >99%, Biden / Kamala / Obama 7+ times >99%, JD / Vance 12%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “JD / Vance”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
An interview of Donald Trump by Ross Douthat on "60 Minutes" is scheduled to air on November 8, 2026, at 7 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://www.cbsnews.com/video/trump-said-to-expect-firings-hours-later-he-announced-susie-wiles-departure/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview, as shown in the extended interview video posted on the official 60 Minutes YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@60minutes). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the extended interview video posted on the official 60 Minutes YouTube channel (e.g., a video titled "Extended interview: President Trump...") will count toward this market's resolution. The CBS broadcast, the Paramount+ stream, shorter clips or excerpts, transcripts, and any other uploads will not count. If more than one extended version of this interview is posted, the first one posted will be used. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are included in the extended interview video where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be the extended interview video posted on the official 60 Minutes YouTube channel. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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Questions
What are the odds of What will Trump say during "60 Minutes" extended interview?
On Polymarket, Iran 5+ times is trading at >99%. Other outcomes: Iran 5+ times >99%, Biden / Kamala / Obama 7+ times >99%, JD / Vance 12%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 9, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.