Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)
Odds right now: Republican 59%, Option A 50%, Option B 50%.
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Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027): the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 12:51 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see Republican as the most likely outcome at 59%, ahead of Option A (50%) and Option B (50%). 13 outcomes are trading in all. Republican has fallen 23 points since October 15, from 82% to 59%. In the last 24 hours Republican lost 18 points.
$16K has been traded on this event, $11K of it in the last 24 hours, and $13K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Democrat”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 56% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 3, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Democrat”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 9 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2027 Kentucky gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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Questions
What are the odds of Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)?
On Polymarket, Republican is trading at 59%. Other outcomes: Republican 59%, Option A 50%, Option B 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see Republican as the most likely outcome at 59%, ahead of Option A (50%) and Option B (50%). 13 outcomes are trading in all. Republican has fallen 23 points since October 15, from 82% to 59%. In the last 24 hours Republican lost 18 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 3, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.