Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
Odds right now: 65-89 43%, 90-114 28%, 40-64 19%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026: the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 5:18 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see 65-89 as the most likely outcome at 43%, ahead of 90-114 (28%) and 40-64 (19%). 10 outcomes are trading in all. 65-89 has fallen 9 points since November 12, from 50% to 41%. 90-114 has fallen 23 points since November 12, from 50% to 27%. In the last 24 hours 65-89 gained 8 points.
$35K has been traded on this event, $29K of it in the last 24 hours, and $44K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “90-114”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 88% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 16, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “90-114”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 5 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: x.com/elonmusk
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 14 12:00 PM ET to November 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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Questions
What are the odds of Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
On Polymarket, 65-89 is trading at 43%. Other outcomes: 65-89 43%, 90-114 28%, 40-64 19%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Elon Musk # tweets November 14 - November 16, 2026?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see 65-89 as the most likely outcome at 43%, ahead of 90-114 (28%) and 40-64 (19%). 10 outcomes are trading in all. 65-89 has fallen 9 points since November 12, from 50% to 41%. 90-114 has fallen 23 points since November 12, from 50% to 27%. In the last 24 hours 65-89 gained 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 16, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.