Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 17 - November 24, 2026?
Odds right now: 80-99 16%, 60-79 14%, 200+ 14%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 17 - November 24, 2026: the story so far
Updated November 15, 2026 at 4:45 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders see 80-99 as the most likely outcome at 16%, ahead of 60-79 (14%) and 200+ (14%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 80-99 has fallen 35 points since November 14, from 51% to 16%. 60-79 has fallen 35 points since November 14, from 50% to 14%.
$8.7K has been traded on this event, $8.7K of it in the last 24 hours, and $34K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “200+”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 53% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 24, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 17, 12:00 PM ET and November 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “200+”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 7 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between November 17, 12:00 PM ET and November 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
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Questions
What are the odds of Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 17 - November 24, 2026?
On Polymarket, 80-99 is trading at 16%. Other outcomes: 80-99 16%, 60-79 14%, 200+ 14%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Donald Trump # Truth Social posts November 17 - November 24, 2026?
As of November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders see 80-99 as the most likely outcome at 16%, ahead of 60-79 (14%) and 200+ (14%). 11 outcomes are trading in all. 80-99 has fallen 35 points since November 14, from 51% to 16%. 60-79 has fallen 35 points since November 14, from 50% to 14%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 24, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.