Alice Huang federally charged by?
Odds right now: March 31, 2027 26%, December 31, 2026 9%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Alice Huang federally charged by: the story so far
Updated November 12, 2026 at 4:53 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket prices 2 separate markets for “Alice Huang federally charged by”: “March 31, 2027” at 26% and “December 31, 2026” at 9%. March 31, 2027 has fallen 15 points since November 9, from 50% to 35%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 41 points since November 9, from 50% to 9%. In the last 24 hours March 31, 2027 gained 8 points.
$8.8K has been traded on this event, $8.3K of it in the last 24 hours, and $24K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “March 31, 2027”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 82% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “March 31, 2027”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed. Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Alice Huang federally charged by?
On Polymarket, March 31, 2027 is trading at 26%. Other outcomes: March 31, 2027 26%, December 31, 2026 9%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Alice Huang federally charged by?
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket prices 2 separate markets for “Alice Huang federally charged by”: “March 31, 2027” at 26% and “December 31, 2026” at 9%. March 31, 2027 has fallen 15 points since November 9, from 50% to 35%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 41 points since November 9, from 50% to 9%. In the last 24 hours March 31, 2027 gained 8 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.