Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory
Odds right now: Republican 50%+ >99%, Person A 50%, Other 50%.
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Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:21 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Republican 50%+ as the most likely outcome at >99%, ahead of Person A (50%) and Other (50%). 13 outcomes are trading in all. Republican 50%+ has risen 91 points since October 11, from 9% to >99%. Republican 45-50% has fallen 12 points since October 11, from 12% to <1%, after peaking at 40% on November 4. In the last 24 hours Republican 50%+ gained 5 points.
$68K has been traded on this event, $10K of it in the last 24 hours, and $139K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Person A”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026. How it resolves: The 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue; the end date has passed and it is still open; a result has been proposed and is in the challenge window.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Person A”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 18 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue; the end date has passed and it is still open; a result has been proposed and is in the challenge window.
Full rules from Polymarket
The 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election. The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory?
On Polymarket, Republican 50%+ is trading at >99%. Other outcomes: Republican 50%+ >99%, Person A 50%, Other 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Republican 50%+ as the most likely outcome at >99%, ahead of Person A (50%) and Other (50%). 13 outcomes are trading in all. Republican 50%+ has risen 91 points since October 11, from 9% to >99%. Republican 45-50% has fallen 12 points since October 11, from 12% to <1%, after peaking at 40% on November 4. In the last 24 hours Republican 50%+ gained 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.