Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...?
Odds right now: April 30 70%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Will Jack Doherty post again on X by: the story so far
Updated November 15, 2026 at 10:17 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Jack Doherty post again on X by April 30” a 70% chance. The price has fallen 23 points since October 16, from 93% to 70%. In the last 24 hours it lost 13 points.
$22K has been traded on this event, $6.9K of it in the last 24 hours, and $1.9K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “April 30”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 58% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on May 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jack Doherty posts again on X between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “April 30”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: The end date has passed and it is still open; a result has been proposed and is in the challenge window.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jack Doherty posts again on X between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, quote post, or reply. The resolution source for this market is Jack Doherty's official X profile: https://x.com/dohertyjackk, including any successor names for the account. Posts from any other account will not qualify.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
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Questions
What are the odds of Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...?
On Polymarket, April 30 is trading at 70%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...?
As of November 15, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Jack Doherty post again on X by April 30” a 70% chance. The price has fallen 23 points since October 16, from 93% to 70%. In the last 24 hours it lost 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on May 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.