Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
Odds right now: Yes 69%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year: the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 4:14 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year” a 69% chance. The price has risen 18 points since November 11, from 51% to 69%, after peaking at 85% on November 12. In the last 24 hours it lost 10 points.
$11K has been traded on this event, $7.2K of it in the last 24 hours, and $3.8K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 69% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on February 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single human individual is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 14 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Resolution source: time.com/
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a single human individual is named TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If multiple people, an organization, a group, an idea or an object is named TIME's 2026 Person of the Year, this market will resolve to "No". If for any reason the 2026 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on TIME's cover. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
On Polymarket, Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year? is trading at 69%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year” a 69% chance. The price has risen 18 points since November 11, from 51% to 69%, after peaking at 85% on November 12. In the last 24 hours it lost 10 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on February 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.