# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
Odds right now: 110M+ 31%, 90-100M 24%, 80-90M 24%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1: the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 7:46 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see 110M+ as the most likely outcome at 31%, ahead of 90-100M (24%) and 80-90M (24%). 7 outcomes are trading in all. 110M+ has fallen 19 points since November 10, from 50% to 31%, after peaking at 82% on November 14. 90-100M has fallen 25 points since November 10, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours 110M+ lost 11 points.
$30K has been traded on this event, $14K of it in the last 24 hours, and $7.6K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “110M+”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 77% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 22, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “110M+”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 6 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
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Questions
What are the odds of # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
On Polymarket, 110M+ is trading at 31%. Other outcomes: 110M+ 31%, 90-100M 24%, 80-90M 24%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see 110M+ as the most likely outcome at 31%, ahead of 90-100M (24%) and 80-90M (24%). 7 outcomes are trading in all. 110M+ has fallen 19 points since November 10, from 50% to 31%, after peaking at 82% on November 14. 90-100M has fallen 25 points since November 10, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours 110M+ lost 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 22, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.