Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
Odds right now: OpenAI 96%, Other 50%, Company A 50%.
Show 15 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November: the story so far
Updated November 12, 2026 at 10:50 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see OpenAI as the most likely outcome at 96%, ahead of Other (50%) and Company A (50%). 27 outcomes are trading in all. OpenAI has risen 12 points since October 13, from 85% to 96%. In the last 24 hours OpenAI gained 14 points.
$31K has been traded on this event, $5.3K of it in the last 24 hours, and $46K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “OpenAI”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 96% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “OpenAI”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 7 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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Questions
What are the odds of Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
On Polymarket, OpenAI is trading at 96%. Other outcomes: OpenAI 96%, Other 50%, Company A 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see OpenAI as the most likely outcome at 96%, ahead of Other (50%) and Company A (50%). 27 outcomes are trading in all. OpenAI has risen 12 points since October 13, from 85% to 96%. In the last 24 hours OpenAI gained 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.