What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
Odds right now: ↑ $4,600 5%, ↑ $4,500 10%, ↓ $3,500 2%.
Show 2 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026: the story so far
Updated November 9, 2026 at 11:17 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026”: “↑ $4,600” at 5%, “↑ $4,500” at 10%, “↓ $3,500” at 2% and “↓ $3,700” at 8%. ↑ $4,600 has fallen 45 points since October 25, from 50% to 5%. ↑ $4,500 has fallen 39 points since October 25, from 50% to 11%. In the last 24 hours ↑ $4,600 gained 2 points.
$105K has been traded on this event, $11K of it in the last 24 hours, and $58K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “↓ $3,700”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 80% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026. How it resolves: What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “↓ $3,700”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Full rules from Polymarket
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
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Questions
What are the odds of What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
On Polymarket, ↑ $4,600 is trading at 5%. Other outcomes: ↑ $4,600 5%, ↑ $4,500 10%, ↓ $3,500 2%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026”: “↑ $4,600” at 5%, “↑ $4,500” at 10%, “↓ $3,500” at 2% and “↓ $3,700” at 8%. ↑ $4,600 has fallen 45 points since October 25, from 50% to 5%. ↑ $4,500 has fallen 39 points since October 25, from 50% to 11%. In the last 24 hours ↑ $4,600 gained 2 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on December 1, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.