Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Odds right now: No IPO before January 2027 96%, $15B–$17.5B 2%, $20B+ 1%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap: the story so far
Updated November 14, 2026 at 10:16 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see No IPO before January 2027 as the most likely outcome at 96%, ahead of $15B–$17.5B (2%) and $20B+ (1%). 8 outcomes are trading in all. No IPO before January 2027 has risen 5 points since October 15, from 91% to 96%. $15B–$17.5B has held close to 2% since October 15.
$635K has been traded on this event, $6.9K of it in the last 24 hours, and $76K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “No IPO before January 2027”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “No IPO before January 2027”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 9 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.
More economy markets
Questions
What are the odds of Oura IPO Closing Market Cap?
On Polymarket, No IPO before January 2027 is trading at 96%. Other outcomes: No IPO before January 2027 96%, $15B–$17.5B 2%, $20B+ 1%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Oura IPO Closing Market Cap?
As of November 14, 2026, Polymarket traders see No IPO before January 2027 as the most likely outcome at 96%, ahead of $15B–$17.5B (2%) and $20B+ (1%). 8 outcomes are trading in all. No IPO before January 2027 has risen 5 points since October 15, from 91% to 96%. $15B–$17.5B has held close to 2% since October 15.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.