Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?
Odds right now: November 30, 2026 4%, December 31, 2026 6%, December 31, 2027 32%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by: the story so far
Updated November 13, 2026 at 6:48 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket prices 3 separate markets for “Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...”: “November 30, 2026” at 4%, “December 31, 2026” at 6% and “December 31, 2027” at 32%. November 30, 2026 has fallen 46 points since November 12, from 51% to 4%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 45 points since November 12, from 51% to 6%.
$46K has been traded on this event, $46K of it in the last 24 hours, and $12K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “November 30, 2026”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028. How it resolves: On November 12, 2026, NVIDIA announced that Jensen Huang had resigned as its President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of its Board of Directors, effective immediately. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of NVIDIA between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “November 30, 2026”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
On November 12, 2026, NVIDIA announced that Jensen Huang had resigned as its President, Chief Executive Officer, and a member of its Board of Directors, effective immediately. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang is officially announced as accepting or beginning a formal role within the corporate or governance structure of NVIDIA between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Qualifying roles include employment, executive, officer, director, formal advisory, or governance positions at NVIDIA, including on an interim or acting basis and membership in a body formally responsible for governing or overseeing the company. A role within a subsidiary or controlled entity of NVIDIA will also qualify. Merely holding or trading NVIDIA shares, voting as a shareholder, entering into a commercial or research partnership with NVIDIA, informally advising, appearing at NVIDIA events, or receiving an honorary or emeritus title will not qualify unless Jensen Huang also accepts or begins a formal role within NVIDIA’s corporate or governance structure. An official announcement that Jensen Huang has accepted a qualifying role will be sufficient, regardless of when he formally begins serving in that role. The primary resolution source will be official information from NVIDIA (including its filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission) or Jensen Huang; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?
On Polymarket, November 30, 2026 is trading at 4%. Other outcomes: November 30, 2026 4%, December 31, 2026 6%, December 31, 2027 32%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...?
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket prices 3 separate markets for “Jensen Huang rejoins NVIDIA by...”: “November 30, 2026” at 4%, “December 31, 2026” at 6% and “December 31, 2027” at 32%. November 30, 2026 has fallen 46 points since November 12, from 51% to 4%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 45 points since November 12, from 51% to 6%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.