Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
Odds right now: December 31, 2026 1%, June 30, 2027 39%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Malaysian parliament dissolved by..: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 2:17 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 2 separate markets for “Malaysian parliament dissolved by..”: “December 31, 2026” at 1% and “June 30, 2027” at 39%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 14 points since October 11, from 16% to 2%. June 30, 2027 has fallen 15 points since October 11, from 54% to 39%, after peaking at 59% on October 15. In the last 24 hours December 31, 2026 lost 6 points.
$54K has been traded on this event, $7.4K of it in the last 24 hours, and $20K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “June 30, 2027”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 85% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Malaysian House of Representatives (Dewan Rakyat) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “June 30, 2027”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue; the end date has passed and it is still open; a result has been proposed and is in the challenge window.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Malaysian House of Representatives (Dewan Rakyat) is dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Malaysia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
On Polymarket, December 31, 2026 is trading at 1%. Other outcomes: December 31, 2026 1%, June 30, 2027 39%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Malaysian parliament dissolved by..?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 2 separate markets for “Malaysian parliament dissolved by..”: “December 31, 2026” at 1% and “June 30, 2027” at 39%. December 31, 2026 has fallen 14 points since October 11, from 16% to 2%. June 30, 2027 has fallen 15 points since October 11, from 54% to 39%, after peaking at 59% on October 15. In the last 24 hours December 31, 2026 lost 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.