
How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31?
Odds right now: 3 50%, 4 28%, 5 7%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31: the story so far
Updated November 13, 2026 at 6:49 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders see 3 as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of 4 (28%) and 5 (7%). 5 outcomes are trading in all. 3 has held close to 50% since November 12. 4 has fallen 23 points since November 12, from 50% to 27%.
$40K has been traded on this event, $40K of it in the last 24 hours, and $161K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “3”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 53% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “3”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 4 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. On November 12, 2026, Reuters reported that Huang had an intimate relationship with a second NVIDIA employee, whom it did not name. This market will resolve according to the number of people with whom Jensen Huang has been reported to have had an affair as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The count starts at three (Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell and the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters) and increases by one for each additional person who is the subject of a qualifying report published by a qualifying outlet between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An affair refers to a romantic or sexual relationship outside Jensen Huang’s marriage. The affair itself may have taken place at any time during his marriage; only the timing of the report matters. The qualifying outlets are The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Financial Times, Reuters, the Associated Press, CNN, Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News and Fox News. Only news articles published on an outlet’s own platform qualify; editorials, opinion pieces, columns, broadcast or video segments, podcasts, social media posts and sponsored content will not qualify. A report will qualify if it meets any of the following: 1. presents the affair as fact; 2. reports the affair based on the outlet’s own sourcing, such as people familiar with the matter, documents or recordings (as in The New York Times’ November 11, 2026 report on Kimberly Powell); 3. reports an alleged affair between Jensen Huang and a specific person other than Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell, the employee reported by Reuters or anyone else already counted, regardless of whether the outlet presents the allegation as credible; or 4. reports that Jensen Huang, directly or through his official or legal representatives, has acknowledged such an affair. Reports under 1 or 2 qualify whether or not the person involved is named, provided they clearly distinguish that person from Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell, the unnamed NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters and anyone else already counted. A report does so if it, or other reporting from a qualifying outlet, makes clear that the person is not someone already counted (e.g., by describing them as a third NVIDIA employee with whom Huang had a relationship, or as someone who has never worked at NVIDIA). A report confirming that Huang had affairs with at least a stated number of people will set the count to that number if it is higher than the count otherwise established. If it is unclear whether a person in a report is someone already counted, that person will be treated as already counted, and this market will resolve to the lower number. The following will not add to the count: (i) reports that name or otherwise identify the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters or anyone else already counted; (ii) reports about any person, named or unnamed, that do not make clear, on their own or together with other reporting from a qualifying outlet, that the person is not someone already counted; (iii) general references to Huang’s infidelity (e.g., “Huang has been unfaithful for a while”); and (iv) allegations about an unnamed person that the outlet only relays from others, such as social media posts or other outlets’ reporting. A report under 4 qualifies only if it reports an acknowledgment, including one in private testimony that has been made public, that names a person who is distinguished from those already counted as described above, or makes clear that Huang was unfaithful with more people than the count otherwise established (for example, by acknowledging affairs with four or more people). Reports of acknowledgments that are not explicit and unambiguous, or that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest or immediately clarified as not being genuine, will not qualify. Alice Huang, Kimberly Powell and the NVIDIA employee reported by Reuters count toward the total even though they were reported before market creation. Any additional person counts only if a qualifying report about them is first published between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports that only reference or link to articles published before market creation will not qualify unless they themselves meet the requirements above, and an article first published before market creation will qualify only if a later update first makes it meet those requirements, in which case the time of the update governs. The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal representatives may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31?
On Polymarket, 3 is trading at 50%. Other outcomes: 3 50%, 4 28%, 5 7%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with How many Jensen Huang affairs will be reported by December 31?
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders see 3 as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of 4 (28%) and 5 (7%). 5 outcomes are trading in all. 3 has held close to 50% since November 12. 4 has fallen 23 points since November 12, from 50% to 27%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.