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#2 Spotify Artist in November?

Odds right now: The Weeknd 57%, Artist B 50%, Artist C 50%.

CultureEnds in 20 days$63K traded$6.2K in 24h$18K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
The Weeknd
57%—▼ 33.0
Artist B
50%——
Artist C
50%——
Artist D
50%——
Artist E
50%——
Artist F
50%——
Other
50%——
Rihanna
26%—▲ 18.5
Bruno Mars
<1%——
Michael Jackson
<1%——
Bad Bunny
<1%——
Shakira
<1%——
Show 8 more outcomes
Taylor Swift
<1%——
Drake
<1%——
Billie Eilish
<1%——
Lady Gaga
<1%——
Ariana Grande
<1%——
Ed Sheeran
<1%——
Coldplay
<1%——
Justin Bieber
<1%——
Price history
0%50%100%Oct 28Nov 11
The Weeknd 57%
Where the money sits
Justin Bieber$1.4K
Michael Jackson$1.4K
Shakira$1.4K
Billie Eilish$1.4K
Taylor Swift$1.4K
Coldplay$1.4K
Drake$1.3K
Bad Bunny$1.3K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
The Weeknd39.0¢$694$88
Rihanna4.0¢$385$71
Bruno Mars0.1¢$3$64

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

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What’s going on

#2 Spotify Artist in November: the story so far

Updated November 11, 2026 at 3:55 AM UTC from live market data.

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders see The Weeknd as the most likely outcome at 57%, ahead of Artist B (50%) and Artist C (50%). 20 outcomes are trading in all. The Weeknd has risen 7 points since October 28, from 50% to 57%, after peaking at 91% on November 9. In the last 24 hours The Weeknd lost 33 points.

$63K has been traded on this event, $6.2K of it in the last 24 hours, and $18K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Rihanna”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 57% of their money on No.

Trading is scheduled to end on November 30, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “Rihanna”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 4 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($714 held)
Yes 43%57% No
All top holders ($5.9K held)
Yes 26%74% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0xa5ef…2966 No$3.0K—
0x0b14…f1f5 Yes$692$4.0K
0x89e0…9412 Yes$448$13K
0x122c…fbed No$313$203K
0x7e35…1a6c Yes$307$112K
0x38cf…d885 No$241$651
0xd218…b5c9 No$213−$89K
0x4959…a6f5 No$121—
0xad53…ef24 No$91$277K
0xa86f…022c No$64—
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Full rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second-greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Ask Cleus about this market

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Questions

What are the odds of #2 Spotify Artist in November?

On Polymarket, The Weeknd is trading at 57%. Other outcomes: The Weeknd 57%, Artist B 50%, Artist C 50%. Prices update live.

What’s going on with #2 Spotify Artist in November?

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders see The Weeknd as the most likely outcome at 57%, ahead of Artist B (50%) and Artist C (50%). 20 outcomes are trading in all. The Weeknd has risen 7 points since October 28, from 50% to 57%, after peaking at 91% on November 9. In the last 24 hours The Weeknd lost 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 30, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.