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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12?

Odds right now: $86 83%, $89 7%, $87 54%.

EconomyEnds in 8 h$15K traded$15K in 24h$18K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
$86
83%—▼ 4.5
$89
7%—▼ 31.6
$87
54%—▼ 16.5
$85
95%—▲ 3.5
$90
4%—▼ 29.0
$84
97%—▲ 2.9
$83
97%—▲ 1.8
$88
23%—▼ 35.5
$91
2%—▼ 12.4
$92
2%—▼ 11.8
$82
98%—▲ 2.2
Price history
0%50%100%Nov 11Nov 12
$86 85%$89 8%$87 55%$85 95%
Where the money sits
$85$3.8K
$89$3.5K
$88$3.5K
$86$3.5K
$87$1.6K
$84$779
$90$715
$91$150

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
$864.0¢$382$188
$894.3¢$24$22
$876.0¢$118$368
$855.0¢$1.2K$147
$904.2¢$10$4
$844.1¢$781$160

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

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What’s going on

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12: the story so far

Updated November 12, 2026 at 3:23 PM UTC from live market data.

As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket prices 11 separate markets for “WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12”: “$86” at 83%, “$89” at 7%, “$87” at 54% and “$85” at 95%. $86 has risen 36 points since November 11, from 50% to 85%. $89 has fallen 42 points since November 11, from 50% to 8%. In the last 24 hours $86 lost 5 points.

$15K has been traded on this event, $15K of it in the last 24 hours, and $18K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “$86”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 86% of their money on Yes.

Trading is scheduled to end on November 12, 2026. How it resolves: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12?

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “$86”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 7 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($846 held)
Yes 86%14% No
All top holders ($1.7K held)
Yes 85%15% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x4ee7…0ba8 Yes$607−$15K
0xa5a8…8aed Yes$339$34K
0x403f…94f1 Yes$276$139K
0xa19c…de6b Yes$115$1.2M
0x982a…6851 No$110$240K
0xf9ef…20eb No$70$12K
0xf9ed…7ee9 Yes$60$12K
0xd6a8…58fd Yes$39$9.6K
0xf1dc…92e7 No$22−$7.0K
0x3aa0…9a01 No$10$772
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Resolution source: app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL

Full rules from Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12?

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

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Questions

What are the odds of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12?

On Polymarket, $86 is trading at 83%. Other outcomes: $86 83%, $89 7%, $87 54%. Prices update live.

What’s going on with WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12?

As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket prices 11 separate markets for “WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 12”: “$86” at 83%, “$89” at 7%, “$87” at 54% and “$85” at 95%. $86 has risen 36 points since November 11, from 50% to 85%. $89 has fallen 42 points since November 11, from 50% to 8%. In the last 24 hours $86 lost 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 12, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.