Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?
Odds right now: Yes 7%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026: the story so far
Updated November 13, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026” a 7% chance. The price has fallen 44 points since November 12, from 51% to 7%.
$3.7K has been traded on this event, $3.7K of it in the last 24 hours, and $5.2K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 94% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang publicly announces that he has founded, or will found, a new company between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 5 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang publicly announces that he has founded, or will found, a new company between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must identify Jensen Huang as a founder or co-founder of the new company and must either name the company or state definitively that Jensen Huang has founded or will found it (e.g., “I have started a new company,” “I will be launching a new company”). Statements that Jensen Huang is considering, exploring, hoping, planning or in discussions to found a company, or that he may or might do so, will not qualify, nor will third-party reports of such plans. The announcement may come from Jensen Huang (including his verified social media accounts and authorized representatives) or from the new company, including via press release or on-the-record interview. The company need not be incorporated or operating by the resolution date. Companies publicly announced before this market was created will not qualify. Subsidiaries, spin-offs, joint ventures and other entities created, owned or controlled by NVIDIA will not qualify. Charitable foundations, nonprofit organizations, family offices and personal holding or investment vehicles will not qualify. Investments in, board seats at, or advisory roles with companies founded by others will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang or the new company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?
On Polymarket, Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026? is trading at 7%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026?
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Will Jensen Huang found a new company by December 31, 2026” a 7% chance. The price has fallen 44 points since November 12, from 51% to 7%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.