What will gas hit the week of November 9?
Odds right now: ↓ $3.90 53%, ↑ $4.04 53%, ↓ $4.00 90%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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What will gas hit the week of November 9: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 12:19 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 12 separate markets for “What will gas hit the week of November 9”: “↓ $3.90” at 53%, “↑ $4.04” at 53%, “↓ $4.00” at 90% and “↑ $4.14” at 27%. ↓ $3.90 has risen 4 points since November 9, from 50% to 53%. ↑ $4.04 has risen 4 points since November 8, from 50% to 53%.
$6.2K has been traded on this event, $6.1K of it in the last 24 hours, and $631 sits in the order books.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 15, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, November 9, 2026 through Sunday, November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “↓ $3.90”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 0 of them have made $25K+.
None of the top holders has a big profit record yet.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: gasprices.aaa.com/
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, November 9, 2026 through Sunday, November 15, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.
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Questions
What are the odds of What will gas hit the week of November 9?
On Polymarket, ↓ $3.90 is trading at 53%. Other outcomes: ↓ $3.90 53%, ↑ $4.04 53%, ↓ $4.00 90%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with What will gas hit the week of November 9?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 12 separate markets for “What will gas hit the week of November 9”: “↓ $3.90” at 53%, “↑ $4.04” at 53%, “↓ $4.00” at 90% and “↑ $4.14” at 27%. ↓ $3.90 has risen 4 points since November 9, from 50% to 53%. ↑ $4.04 has risen 4 points since November 8, from 50% to 53%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 15, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.