
Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
Odds right now: Yes >99%.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31: the story so far
Updated November 12, 2026 at 8:51 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31” a >99% chance. The price has risen 50 points since November 12, from 50% to >99%.
$181K has been traded on this event, $192K of it in the last 24 hours, and $265K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 14 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
On November 8, 2026, Jensen Huang acknowledged in a message to NVIDIA employees that he had been unfaithful to his wife; news reports have identified the woman involved as Alice Huang. On November 11, 2026, The New York Times reported that Huang had also had an affair with Kimberly Powell, NVIDIA’s vice president of healthcare; Huang, Powell and NVIDIA have not confirmed that report. Huang has since resigned as NVIDIA’s CEO and from its board. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a qualifying outlet publishes a qualifying report of an affair between Jensen Huang and any person other than Alice Huang or Kimberly Powell. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An affair refers to a romantic or sexual relationship outside Jensen Huang’s marriage. The affair itself may have taken place at any time during his marriage; only the timing of the report or acknowledgment matters. The qualifying outlets are The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Financial Times, Reuters, the Associated Press, CNN, Bloomberg, ABC News, CBS News, NBC News and Fox News. Only news articles published on an outlet’s own platform qualify; editorials, opinion pieces, columns, broadcast or video segments, podcasts, social media posts and sponsored content will not qualify. A report will qualify if it: 1. presents the affair as fact; 2. reports the affair based on the outlet’s own sourcing, such as people familiar with the matter, documents or recordings (as in The New York Times’ November 11, 2026 report on Kimberly Powell); 3. reports an alleged affair between Jensen Huang and a specific person other than Alice Huang or Kimberly Powell, regardless of whether the outlet presents the allegation as credible; or 4. reports that Jensen Huang, directly or through his official or legal representatives, has acknowledged such an affair. Reports under 1 or 2 qualify whether or not the person involved is named or otherwise identified, provided they make clear that at least one affair was with someone other than Alice Huang and Kimberly Powell, for example by stating that Jensen Huang had at least three affairs. Reports referring to his affairs, infidelity or unfaithfulness which do not clearly identify a third affair (e.g., “Huang has been unfaithful for a while”) will not qualify. Allegations about an unnamed person that the outlet only relays from others, such as social media posts or other outlets’ reporting, will not qualify. A report under 4 qualifies only if it reports an acknowledgment, including one in private testimony that has been made public, that names a person other than Alice Huang and Kimberly Powell or makes clear that Huang was unfaithful with someone other than them (for example, by acknowledging three or more affairs or partners). Reports of acknowledgments that are not explicit and unambiguous, or that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest or immediately clarified as not being genuine, will not qualify. A qualifying report must be first published between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Reports that only reference or link to articles published before market creation will not qualify unless they themselves meet the requirements above. An article first published before market creation will qualify only if a later update first makes it meet the requirements above, in which case the time of the update governs. The resolution source for this market will be reporting from the qualifying outlets; for acknowledgments, official information from Jensen Huang or his official or legal representatives may also be used.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.
More economy markets
Questions
What are the odds of Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
On Polymarket, Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31? is trading at >99%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Third Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31” a >99% chance. The price has risen 50 points since November 12, from 50% to >99%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.