South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
Odds right now: 2.4% to 2.6% 39%, 2.7% to 2.9% 37%, 3.0%+ 16%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:20 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 2.4% to 2.6% as the most likely outcome at 39%, ahead of 2.7% to 2.9% (37%) and 3.0%+ (16%). 7 outcomes are trading in all. 2.4% to 2.6% has risen 33 points since October 11, from 6% to 38%, after peaking at 53% on November 10. 2.7% to 2.9% has fallen 2 points since October 11, from 40% to 37%, after peaking at 53% on October 15. In the last 24 hours 2.4% to 2.6% gained 16 points.
$94K has been traded on this event, $6.4K of it in the last 24 hours, and $9.7K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “2.7% to 2.9%”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 82% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027. How it resolves: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “2.7% to 2.9%”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month. The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01 Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
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Questions
What are the odds of South Korea Annual Inflation 2026?
On Polymarket, 2.4% to 2.6% is trading at 39%. Other outcomes: 2.4% to 2.6% 39%, 2.7% to 2.9% 37%, 3.0%+ 16%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with South Korea Annual Inflation 2026?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 2.4% to 2.6% as the most likely outcome at 39%, ahead of 2.7% to 2.9% (37%) and 3.0%+ (16%). 7 outcomes are trading in all. 2.4% to 2.6% has risen 33 points since October 11, from 6% to 38%, after peaking at 53% on November 10. 2.7% to 2.9% has fallen 2 points since October 11, from 40% to 37%, after peaking at 53% on October 15. In the last 24 hours 2.4% to 2.6% gained 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.