Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
Odds right now: 55,000-60,000 46%, <55,000 20%, 65,000-70,000 16%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 2:18 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 55,000-60,000 as the most likely outcome at 46%, ahead of <55,000 (20%) and 65,000-70,000 (16%). 8 outcomes are trading in all. 55,000-60,000 has risen 36 points since October 11, from 10% to 46%, after peaking at 53% on November 6. <55,000 has risen 9 points since October 11, from 12% to 20%. In the last 24 hours 55,000-60,000 gained 3 points.
$46K has been traded on this event, $12K of it in the last 24 hours, and $39K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “70,000-75,000”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on December 31, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “70,000-75,000”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 5 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for the Nikkei 225 (NI225) on the final trading day of December 2026, reported in JPY. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nikkei 225 (^N225) "Close" prices available at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EN225/history/), published under "Historical Data.”
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Questions
What are the odds of Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026?
On Polymarket, 55,000-60,000 is trading at 46%. Other outcomes: 55,000-60,000 46%, <55,000 20%, 65,000-70,000 16%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 55,000-60,000 as the most likely outcome at 46%, ahead of <55,000 (20%) and 65,000-70,000 (16%). 8 outcomes are trading in all. 55,000-60,000 has risen 36 points since October 11, from 10% to 46%, after peaking at 53% on November 6. <55,000 has risen 9 points since October 11, from 12% to 20%. In the last 24 hours 55,000-60,000 gained 3 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on December 31, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.