Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Odds right now: Person M 50%, Person N 50%, Person O 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:21 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Person M as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of Person N (50%) and Person O (50%). 59 outcomes are trading in all.
$131K has been traded on this event, $3.0K of it in the last 24 hours, and $63K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Nermin Nikšić”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have nearly all of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on August 1, 2028. How it resolves: This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Nermin Nikšić”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
On Polymarket, Person M is trading at 50%. Other outcomes: Person M 50%, Person N 50%, Person O 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see Person M as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of Person N (50%) and Person O (50%). 59 outcomes are trading in all.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on August 1, 2028, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.