How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?
Odds right now: 0 53%, 1 26%, 3+ 17%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:21 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 0 as the most likely outcome at 53%, ahead of 1 (26%) and 3+ (17%). 4 outcomes are trading in all. 0 has risen 3 points since November 4, from 51% to 53%. 1 has fallen 25 points since November 4, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours 0 gained 4 points.
$3.4K has been traded on this event, $3.3K of it in the last 24 hours, and $25K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “0”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 78% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the exact number of Donald Trump's vetoes that Congress overrides between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A veto will be considered overridden once both the House of Representatives and the Senate pass the vetoed bill or joint resolution by the two-thirds vote required under Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “0”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the exact number of Donald Trump's vetoes that Congress overrides between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A veto will be considered overridden once both the House of Representatives and the Senate pass the vetoed bill or joint resolution by the two-thirds vote required under Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Constitution. An override will be considered to have occurred on the date the second chamber completes its vote, regardless of when the veto was issued. An override vote by only one chamber will not qualify. Each overridden bill or joint resolution counts as one override. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official congressional voting records, including Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?
On Polymarket, 0 is trading at 53%. Other outcomes: 0 53%, 1 26%, 3+ 17%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see 0 as the most likely outcome at 53%, ahead of 1 (26%) and 3+ (17%). 4 outcomes are trading in all. 0 has risen 3 points since November 4, from 51% to 53%. 1 has fallen 25 points since November 4, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours 0 gained 4 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.