General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth?
Odds right now: -1.5% to 0% 58%, 0% to 1.5% 25%, 1.5%+ 16%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
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General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:20 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see -1.5% to 0% as the most likely outcome at 58%, ahead of 0% to 1.5% (25%) and 1.5%+ (16%). 6 outcomes are trading in all. -1.5% to 0% has risen 8 points since October 15, from 50% to 58%, after peaking at 67% on October 18. 0% to 1.5% has fallen 25 points since October 15, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours -1.5% to 0% gained 35 points.
$24K has been traded on this event, $3.1K of it in the last 24 hours, and $6.3K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “-1.5% to 0%”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 79% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on December 23, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the second fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “-1.5% to 0%”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 6 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the second fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
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Questions
What are the odds of General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth?
On Polymarket, -1.5% to 0% is trading at 58%. Other outcomes: -1.5% to 0% 58%, 0% to 1.5% 25%, 1.5%+ 16%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders see -1.5% to 0% as the most likely outcome at 58%, ahead of 0% to 1.5% (25%) and 1.5%+ (16%). 6 outcomes are trading in all. -1.5% to 0% has risen 8 points since October 15, from 50% to 58%, after peaking at 67% on October 18. 0% to 1.5% has fallen 25 points since October 15, from 51% to 26%. In the last 24 hours -1.5% to 0% gained 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on December 23, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.