Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
Odds right now: Yes 96%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price: the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 3:50 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price” a 96% chance. The price has risen 46 points since October 26, from 50% to 96%. In the last 24 hours it gained 17 points.
$15K has been traded on this event, $3.7K of it in the last 24 hours, and $18K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 91% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028. How it resolves: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Anthropic's opening share price on its first day of trading is above its IPO offer price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The official opening price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the opening share price. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Anthropic to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no Anthropic IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on the final prospectus for the IPO price and the primary exchange’s official listing page for the opening price. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. If no official opening price for the first day of trading is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official opening price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
On Polymarket, Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price? is trading at 96%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket traders give “Anthropic IPO: Open Price above IPO Price” a 96% chance. The price has risen 46 points since October 26, from 50% to 96%. In the last 24 hours it gained 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.