Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Odds right now: $1.75T 10%, $1.5T 36%, $2T 5%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ : the story so far
Updated November 10, 2026 at 3:07 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 7 separate markets for “Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ”: “$1.75T” at 10%, “$1.5T” at 36%, “$2T” at 5% and “$2.25T” at 1%. $1.75T has fallen 78 points since October 11, from 87% to 9%. $1.5T has fallen 55 points since October 11, from 91% to 36%, after peaking at 93% on October 12. In the last 24 hours $1.75T lost 17 points.
$67K has been traded on this event, $9.5K of it in the last 24 hours, and $103K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “$1.75T”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 89% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “$1.75T”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 15 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
On Polymarket, $1.75T is trading at 10%. Other outcomes: $1.75T 10%, $1.5T 36%, $2T 5%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 7 separate markets for “Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ”: “$1.75T” at 10%, “$1.5T” at 36%, “$2T” at 5% and “$2.25T” at 1%. $1.75T has fallen 78 points since October 11, from 87% to 9%. $1.5T has fallen 55 points since October 11, from 91% to 36%, after peaking at 93% on October 12. In the last 24 hours $1.75T lost 17 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.