Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
Odds right now: Pablo Picasso 94%, Other 7%, Andy Warhol <1%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Pablo Picasso”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 8 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the name of the listed artist who is ranked #1 in global fine art auction turnover for the 2026 calendar year according to the Artprice Annual Report covering 2026. If the Artprice Annual Report is not published by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET, or does not include a ranked list of top-selling artists by turnover, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve according to the Artprice Annual Report, scheduled for release in early 2027, available at artprice.com or artmarket.com.
Ask Cleus about this market
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Questions
What are the odds of Who will be the top-selling artist by total auction sales in 2026?
On Polymarket, Pablo Picasso is trading at 94%. Other outcomes: Pablo Picasso 94%, Other 7%, Andy Warhol <1%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on April 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.