Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Odds right now: Actor F 50%, Actor G 50%, Actor H 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner: the story so far
Updated November 9, 2026 at 1:44 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket traders see Actor F as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of Actor G (50%) and Actor H (50%). 60 outcomes are trading in all.
$74K has been traded on this event, $6.0K of it in the last 24 hours, and $54K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “Paul Giamatti”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 91% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027. How it resolves: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Paul Giamatti”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 9 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Full rules from Polymarket
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner?
On Polymarket, Actor F is trading at 50%. Other outcomes: Actor F 50%, Actor G 50%, Actor H 50%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner?
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket traders see Actor F as the most likely outcome at 50%, ahead of Actor G (50%) and Actor H (50%). 60 outcomes are trading in all.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.