Nozempic 2: Who loses the most weight?
Odds right now: Cuffem 84%, Person A 50%, Person B 50%.
Show 18 more outcomes
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “Cuffem”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 7 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Resolution source: kick.com/adinross
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the participant that loses the most weight during Adin Ross's Nozempic 2, currently scheduled to stream from November 9 to November 11, 2026. The participant that loses the most weight will be determined by the greatest weight lost in absolute units (e.g., pounds or kilograms), as officially reported during the competition. If absolute weight loss figures are not available, the participant with the greatest relative weight loss (e.g., percentage of body weight lost), as officially reported during the competition, will be considered. If neither figure is available, this market will resolve according to the participant officially declared the biggest loser of the competition. In the case of a tie between multiple participants, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled by or postponed to after November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the participant who lost the most weight has not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Adin Ross, including his livestream (https://kick.com/adinross); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of Nozempic 2: Who loses the most weight?
On Polymarket, Cuffem is trading at 84%. Other outcomes: Cuffem 84%, Person A 50%, Person B 50%. Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 13, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.