M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon
Odds right now: Raul Garcia <1%.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 4 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.
Resolution source: www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Full rules from Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Raul Garcia and Max Sheldon in the M15 Hilton Head Island, SC, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Raul Garcia' if Raul Garcia advances against Max Sheldon. This market will resolve to 'Max Sheldon' if Max Sheldon advances against Raul Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Questions
What are the odds of M15 Hilton Head Island, SC: Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon?
On Polymarket, Raul Garcia is trading at <1% (Raul Garcia vs Max Sheldon). Prices update live.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 12, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.