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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Odds right now: Match Winner 20%, Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) 66%, Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) 37%.

SportsEnds in 33 h$264K traded$183K in 24h$490K liquidityWatch the rules
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
Match Winner
20%Invictus Gaming——
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)
66%Gen.G—▲ 0.5
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)
37%Gen.G—▲ 1.0
Game 3 Winner
28%Invictus Gaming—▼ 0.5
Game 1 Winner
28%Invictus Gaming—▲ 0.5
O/U 4.5 Games
26%Over—▼ 0.5
Game 2 Winner
28%Invictus Gaming—▼ 1.0
O/U 3.5 Games
62%Over—▼ 1.0
Game 4 Winner
35%Invictus Gaming—▲ 3.0
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
50%——
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
50%——
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50%——
Show 18 more outcomes
Any Player Quadra Kill
50%——
Any Player Penta Kill
50%——
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
50%——
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
50%——
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50%——
Any Player Quadra Kill
50%——
Any Player Penta Kill
50%——
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
50%——
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
50%——
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50%——
Any Player Quadra Kill
50%——
Any Player Penta Kill
50%—▼ 0.5
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
50%——
Both Teams Slay a Dragon
50%——
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors
50%——
Any Player Quadra Kill
50%——
Any Player Penta Kill
50%——
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor
50%——
Price history
9%49%88%Nov 5Nov 6
Match Winner 20%Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) 66%Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) 37%Game 3 Winner 28%
Where the money sits
Match Winner$274K
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)$55K
O/U 3.5 Games$42K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)$39K
O/U 4.5 Games$33K
Game 1 Winner$24K
Game 2 Winner$10K
Game 3 Winner$9.8K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
Match Winner1.0¢$46K$42K
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)2.0¢$2.3K$32K
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)1.0¢$1.2K$28K
Game 3 Winner1.0¢$380$424
Game 1 Winner1.0¢$2.7K$12K
Game 2 Winner1.0¢$799$566

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

See it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

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A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “Match Winner”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 2 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($44K held)
Invictus Gaming 0%100% Gen.G
All top holders ($182K held)
Invictus Gaming 13%87% Gen.G

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0xe015…6ffd Gen.G$29K−$323K
0x2c8d…65e7 Gen.G$24K$86K
0xde44…751f Gen.G$23K$14K
0x7091…96f8 Gen.G$20K$47K
0x9c56…78d1 Gen.G$15K—
0xc69b…2076 Gen.G$14K—
0x6f3e…bd65 Gen.G$8.2K—
0x01b6…7d7c Gen.G$8.1K—
0xe907…cff6 Invictus Gaming$3.5K−$11M
0x9e3e…f882 Invictus Gaming$3.1K−$4.0M
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.

Resolution source: www.twitch.tv/otplol_

Full rules from Polymarket

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 2 match between Invictus Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Invictus Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 21, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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Questions

What are the odds of LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs?

On Polymarket, Match Winner is trading at 20%. Other outcomes: Match Winner 20%, Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) 66%, Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5) 37%. Prices update live.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 8, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.