Ethereum above ___ on November 17?
Odds right now: 1,900 65%, 1,600 >99%, 1,700 96%.
Matched by Cleus on the exact question, date and line. Average is the real-money markets only; Manifold uses play money. Polymarket ↗
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
Ethereum above ___ on November 17: the story so far
Updated November 13, 2026 at 6:48 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket prices 11 separate markets for “Ethereum above ___ on November 17”: “1,900” at 65%, “1,600” at >99%, “1,700” at 96% and “1,800” at 88%. 1,900 has risen 20 points since November 10, from 42% to 62%, after peaking at 93% on November 11. 1,600 has risen 46 points since November 10, from 53% to >99%. In the last 24 hours 1,900 lost 25 points.
Options markets imply a fair value of 58% for 1,900.
$14K has been traded on this event, $6.5K of it in the last 24 hours, and $284K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “1,900”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 62% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 17, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “1,900”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 4 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Ask Cleus about this market
Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.
Analysis, not financial advice. Prediction markets can lose you money. Free: 3 questions a day.
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Questions
What are the odds of Ethereum above ___ on November 17?
On Polymarket, 1,900 is trading at 65%. Other outcomes: 1,900 65%, 1,600 >99%, 1,700 96%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with Ethereum above ___ on November 17?
As of November 13, 2026, Polymarket prices 11 separate markets for “Ethereum above ___ on November 17”: “1,900” at 65%, “1,600” at >99%, “1,700” at 96% and “1,800” at 88%. 1,900 has risen 20 points since November 10, from 42% to 62%, after peaking at 93% on November 11. 1,600 has risen 46 points since November 10, from 53% to >99%. In the last 24 hours 1,900 lost 25 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 17, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.