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SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC

Odds right now: SK Rapid 95%, Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC) 6%, Wolfsberger AC 2%.

SportsEnds in Awaiting result$134K traded$134K in 24h$106K liquidityWatch the rules
OutcomeMarketCleus24h
SK Rapid
95%—▲ 18.5
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC)
6%—▼ 8.0
Wolfsberger AC
2%—▼ 7.5
Price history
0%50%100%Nov 1Nov 6
SK Rapid 93%Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC) 4%Wolfsberger AC 2%
Where the money sits
Wolfsberger AC$33K
SK Rapid$25K
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC)$19K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
SK Rapid6.0¢$642$381
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC)5.0¢$23$7
Wolfsberger AC2.6¢$36$0

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

See it on Polymarket ↗
Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

Usually 15–40 seconds.

Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

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A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “SK Rapid”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 9 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($1.8K held)
Yes 32%68% No
All top holders ($24K held)
Yes 92%8% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x7d3b…55b8 Yes$11K$16K
0x5b63…11a4 Yes$4.3K−$3.3M
0x8e17…9d3c Yes$1.5K−$20K
0xebc9…1ca3 Yes$1.1K−$3.3K
0x5bd0…c562 Yes$925$3.9K
0xda65…4a84 Yes$640$468
0x2005…75ea No$375$16M
0x1e07…6731 Yes$338−$405
0x68f0…c32d Yes$331−$14K
0x0346…52a5 No$302−$1.4M
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Rules risk: Resolves on "credible reporting", which leaves room to argue.

Resolution source: www.bundesliga.at/

Full rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming Austria Bundesliga game between SK Rapid and Wolfsberger AC, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

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Questions

What are the odds of SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC?

On Polymarket, SK Rapid is trading at 95%. Other outcomes: SK Rapid 95%, Draw (SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC) 6%, Wolfsberger AC 2%. Prices update live.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 6, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.