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What price will Ethereum hit on November 10?

Odds right now: ↓ 2,000 7%, ↓ 1,950 2%, ↑ 2,250 4%.

↓ 2,000:Polymarket 7%Options fair value 11%
CryptoEnds in 21 h$16K traded$16K in 24h$212K liquidity
OutcomeMarketCleusOptions
↓ 2,000
7%—11%+4 pts
↓ 1,950
2%—4%+3 pts
↑ 2,250
4%—4%
↑ 2,200
12%—12%
↑ 2,150
51%—45%−6 pts
↓ 2,100
77%—84%+7 pts
↓ 2,050
22%—32%+10 pts
↓ 1,900
1%—2%
↑ 2,300
1%—1%
↑ 2,450
<1%—<1%
↑ 2,400
<1%—<1%
↑ 2,350
<1%—<1%
Show 2 more outcomes
↓ 1,850
<1%—<1%
↓ 1,800
<1%—<1%
Same question, other markets
OutcomePolymarketOptions
↓ 2,0007%11%+4
↓ 1,9502%4%+3
↑ 2,2504%4%
↑ 2,20012%12%
↑ 2,15051%45%−6
↓ 2,10077%84%+7
↓ 2,05022%32%+10
↓ 1,9001%2%
↑ 2,3001%1%
↑ 2,450<1%<1%

Matched by Cleus on the exact question, date and line. Average is the real-money markets only; Manifold uses play money. Polymarket ↗

Price history
0%32%65%Nov 10Nov 10
↓ 2,000 7%↓ 1,950 2%↑ 2,250 4%↑ 2,200 12%
Where the money sits
↓ 1,950$22K
↓ 2,000$22K
↑ 2,200$21K
↑ 2,400$20K
↓ 2,050$18K
↑ 2,300$17K
↑ 2,450$16K
↓ 1,900$15K

Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.

Order book
OutcomeSpreadBuy to +2¢Sell to −2¢
↓ 2,0002.0¢$313$47
↓ 1,9501.6¢$80$56
↑ 2,2500.1¢$8$24
↑ 2,2002.0¢$505$429
↑ 2,1501.0¢$1.3K$3
↓ 2,1001.0¢$238$1.9K

How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.

Cleus’s read

Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…

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Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.

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What’s going on

What price will Ethereum hit on November 10: the story so far

Updated November 10, 2026 at 8:20 AM UTC from live market data.

As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “What price will Ethereum hit on November 10”: “↓ 2,000” at 7%, “↓ 1,950” at 2%, “↑ 2,250” at 4% and “↑ 2,200” at 12%. ↓ 2,000 has fallen 45 points since November 10, from 52% to 7%. ↓ 1,950 has fallen 49 points since November 10, from 51% to 2%.

Options markets imply a fair value of 11% for ↓ 2,000.

$16K has been traded on this event, $16K of it in the last 24 hours, and $212K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “↓ 2,000”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 95% of their money on No.

Trading is scheduled to end on November 11, 2026. How it resolves: What price will Ethereum hit on November 10?

Smart money

Which side the winners are on

The top holders of “↓ 2,000”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 5 of them have made $25K+.

Wallets with $25K+ all-time profit ($6.3K held)
Yes 5%95% No
All top holders ($6.9K held)
Yes 7%93% No

When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.

HolderHoldsAll-time P&L
0x06dc…4524 No$5.9K$1.1M
0x31b0…b6fa No$196−$291
0xab15…46e5 Yes$171$73K
0xa19c…de6b Yes$168$1.0M
0x187f…a85b No$141$1.1K
0x171b…9b93 No$122−$370
0x6464…86bc Yes$116$9.1K
0x70b8…ec6c No$21−$104
0x758d…5d9e No$19$73K
0x431b…7650 Yes$14−$839
Unusual bets

Big bets in this market that stand out

Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.

Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.

Rules

How it actually resolves

The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.

Resolution source: www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT

Full rules from Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit on November 10?

Ask Cleus about this market

Cleus has this market’s prices, rules, its own odds and the unusual bets in front of it, and searches the web and X for the rest.

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Questions

What are the odds of What price will Ethereum hit on November 10?

On Polymarket, ↓ 2,000 is trading at 7%. Other outcomes: ↓ 2,000 7%, ↓ 1,950 2%, ↑ 2,250 4%. Prices update live.

What’s going on with What price will Ethereum hit on November 10?

As of November 10, 2026, Polymarket prices 14 separate markets for “What price will Ethereum hit on November 10”: “↓ 2,000” at 7%, “↓ 1,950” at 2%, “↑ 2,250” at 4% and “↑ 2,200” at 12%. ↓ 2,000 has fallen 45 points since November 10, from 52% to 7%. ↓ 1,950 has fallen 49 points since November 10, from 51% to 2%.

When does this market end?

It is scheduled to end on November 11, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.

What does Cleus predict?

Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.

Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.