What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
Odds right now: ↓ 70,000 3%, ↓ 71,000 6%, ↓ 69,000 1%.
Show 4 more outcomes
Matched by Cleus on the exact question, date and line. Average is the real-money markets only; Manifold uses play money. Polymarket ↗
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9: the story so far
Updated November 9, 2026 at 6:21 AM UTC from live market data.
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket prices 16 separate markets for “What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9”: “↓ 70,000” at 3%, “↓ 71,000” at 6%, “↓ 69,000” at 1% and “↓ 68,000” at <1%. ↓ 70,000 has held close to 3% since November 9. ↓ 71,000 has risen 5 points since November 9, from 3% to 8%.
Options markets imply a fair value of 6% for ↓ 70,000.
$60K has been traded on this event, $61K of it in the last 24 hours, and $135K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “↓ 71,000”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 96% of their money on No.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 10, 2026. How it resolves: What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “↓ 71,000”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 9 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Full rules from Polymarket
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
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Questions
What are the odds of What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
On Polymarket, ↓ 70,000 is trading at 3%. Other outcomes: ↓ 70,000 3%, ↓ 71,000 6%, ↓ 69,000 1%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9?
As of November 9, 2026, Polymarket prices 16 separate markets for “What price will Bitcoin hit on November 9”: “↓ 70,000” at 3%, “↓ 71,000” at 6%, “↓ 69,000” at 1% and “↓ 68,000” at <1%. ↓ 70,000 has held close to 3% since November 9. ↓ 71,000 has risen 5 points since November 9, from 3% to 8%.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 10, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.