# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1?
Odds right now: 10-20M 83%, 20-30M 15%, 30-40M 2%.
Liquidity resting in each outcome’s order book. Thin books move fastest on big orders.
How much you could buy or sell before the price moves 2¢, from Polymarket’s live order book.
Cleus is reading the rules and searching the web and X…
Usually 15–40 seconds.
Cleus’s own estimate from public information. Not financial advice.
A fresh, deeper run: Cleus searches wider, thinks it through, and lays out the bull and bear case, the scenarios and the one thing that would change its mind.
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1: the story so far
Updated November 12, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC from live market data.
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see 10-20M as the most likely outcome at 83%, ahead of 20-30M (15%) and 30-40M (2%). 6 outcomes are trading in all. 10-20M has risen 34 points since November 10, from 50% to 83%. 20-30M has fallen 35 points since November 10, from 50% to 15%. In the last 24 hours 10-20M gained 16 points.
$14K has been traded on this event, $10K of it in the last 24 hours, and $17K sits in the order books. Among the largest holders of “10-20M”, wallets with $25K+ in past Polymarket profits have 75% of their money on Yes.
Trading is scheduled to end on November 18, 2026. How it resolves: This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
Which side the winners are on
The top holders of “10-20M”, weighted by what each wallet has made on Polymarket all-time. 10 of them have made $25K+.
When proven winners lean against the price, it’s worth a second look. When they agree with it, the price is probably fair.
Big bets in this market that stand out
Orders of $500+ from the last 30 days, scored for new wallets, first markets, long odds and size. Evidence, not accusations — and never a name.
Nothing unusual in the last few hours — big bets are coming from established wallets at normal odds.
How it actually resolves
The written rules below decide this market — not the headline.
Resolution source: www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yl5ELcmugI
Full rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_yl5ELcmugI).
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Questions
What are the odds of # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1?
On Polymarket, 10-20M is trading at 83%. Other outcomes: 10-20M 83%, 20-30M 15%, 30-40M 2%. Prices update live.
What’s going on with # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1?
As of November 12, 2026, Polymarket traders see 10-20M as the most likely outcome at 83%, ahead of 20-30M (15%) and 30-40M (2%). 6 outcomes are trading in all. 10-20M has risen 34 points since November 10, from 50% to 83%. 20-30M has fallen 35 points since November 10, from 50% to 15%. In the last 24 hours 10-20M gained 16 points.
When does this market end?
It is scheduled to end on November 18, 2026, then settles once the result is confirmed under its rules.
What does Cleus predict?
Cleus has not made a call on this market yet.
Prices from Polymarket’s public data, refreshed every few minutes. Cleus odds are Cleus’s own estimate. Unusual-bet scores are statistical patterns, not findings of wrongdoing. Not financial advice; not affiliated with Polymarket.